Economics beyond the syllabus.
Explore the ideas economists use to understand people, markets, money and the decisions behind them.
From game theory to behavioural economics, market failures to AI — the concepts you'll meet in a first-year university course, introduced here through decisions rather than definitions.
Six chapters. They stand alone, so begin wherever you are most curious — or take the two questions below and let them choose.
What kind of economist are you?
Four questions, no right answers. They point you at whichever part of the page will interest you most. 0 of 4
A rival firm could be undercut, or left alone. What's your instinct?
£50 today, or £60 in a month?
Two firms would both rather not start a price war. Why do they anyway?
If everyone knows exactly what everyone else knows, is information still worth anything?
What happens when everyone is thinking?University preview
Markets aren't always about supply and demand. Sometimes the best decision depends entirely on what everyone else decides.
You run one of two petrol stations on the same road.
Your rival is setting their price at the same moment, and you cannot see it. Whatever you both pick, you live with it for a year.
Your rival is deciding
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Notice they cut both times. That is not stubbornness — cutting beats holding for them whatever you do.
You just found a Nash equilibrium.
A Nash equilibrium is a set of choices where nobody can do better by changing their mind alone. Not the best outcome — the stable one. Both of you cutting is exactly that: neither can raise price without losing every customer.
Cutting earns more whatever the other does — £14m against £10m if they hold, £5m against £2m if they cut. A move that wins in every case is a , and you both have the same one. You have just played a .
Why doesn’t cooperation just happen?
Because it is not enforceable. You would both prefer £10m each, but the moment you hold, your rival gains £4m by cutting. Any agreement to hold is an agreement each of you is paid to break.
Now change one thing: play it every day for years, each able to see yesterday's price. A cut buys one good day and a permanent war. In a repeated game cooperation becomes sustainable — not through goodwill, but because defecting now costs you the future. It is why long-standing suppliers rarely cheat each other and one-off tourist transactions so often disappoint.
| Rival holds | Rival cuts | |
|---|---|---|
| You hold | 10 / 10Both comfortable | 2 / 14You lose the market |
| You cut | 14 / 2You take the market | 5 / 5Price war |
Click any cell, or use the buttons, and ask: could either firm do better by moving alone?
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Auctions, and why winning can be bad newsUniversity preview
A sealed jar of coins is up for auction. Nobody knows what's inside. Four other bidders have estimated its value:
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Why does winning hurt?
In a common-value auction the thing is worth the same to everyone — nobody knows what that is. Each bidder forms an estimate scattered around the truth.
The winner is, almost by construction, the bidder whose estimate was furthest above the truth. Winning is evidence that you were the most optimistic person in the room. Economists call it the winner's curse, and the defence is to bid below your own estimate on purpose.
Where it happens: oil exploration rights, radio spectrum auctions, takeover battles, and construction contracts won by the firm that most underestimated the job.
Are humans actually rational?
Traditional models start with a decision-maker who always picks the best available option. Real people are considerably messier — and messy in patterns you can predict.
You're handed £100. Now choose:
Different day. You're handed £100, then told you must give some back:
Is a season ticket for your nearest football club worth more or less than —?
£50 today, or £60 in one month?
Now: £50 in twelve months, or £60 in thirteen months?
Six more patterns worth recognising
Rewards available now are weighted far more heavily than rewards later — so plans made for Saturday lose to Saturday itself. It is not a failure of willpower so much as a change in the exchange rate between now and later as "later" approaches.
Revision · savingsubscriptions
People demand more to give something up than they would have paid to get it. In the classic experiment, students given a mug valued it at roughly twice what students without one would pay.
Free trialsreturns policies
The current option wins disproportionately often, even when switching is obviously better. This is why the default setting is the most powerful design decision in any product.
Pensions · energy tariffsbank accounts
Money gets sorted into mental pots — "holiday money", "birthday money" — and treated differently in each, even though a pound is a pound. People will keep savings earning 2% while carrying a credit card at 24%.
Budgetingwindfalls
A change to how a choice is presented that shifts behaviour without banning anything or changing any payoff. UK pension auto-enrolment moved millions into saving by switching the default from opt-in to opt-out.
Auto-enrolmentdefault options
The framework underneath most of the above. People judge outcomes as gains and losses relative to a reference point rather than as final wealth, feel losses about twice as keenly, and systematically overweight small probabilities — which is why lottery tickets and insurance both sell.
Kahneman & Tversky1979
A caution worth carrying: none of this shows people are irrational. It shows the standard model is incomplete. The deviations are consistent enough to be modelled — and consistent enough to be exploited, which is why the ethics of nudging are genuinely contested.
What happens when people don't know everything?University preview
Markets behave completely differently once one side knows more than the other. Sometimes they stop working altogether — with nobody lying and nobody behaving foolishly.
Half the used cars on a forecourt are reliable and half are trouble. The sellers know which is which. You don't. What should you be willing to pay?
The only sensible answer is the average. But an honest owner of a good car won't accept the average — it's less than their car is worth. So they don't sell. Which means the remaining cars are worse than average. Which means buyers should pay even less.
Drag the slider and watch where that logic ends. George Akerlof won a Nobel Prize for this argument in a paper about used cars.
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Hidden information, before the deal. The people most eager to buy insurance are the people expecting to claim. Raise the premium to cover them and the healthiest customers leave, worsening the pool again.
Insurance · lendingused cars
Hidden action, after the deal. Being insured changes how carefully you behave. The distinction from adverse selection is exactly this timing, and it is the one most often muddled in exams.
Insurance excessbank bailouts
The informed side does something costly to prove what it knows. A signal only works if it is genuinely harder for the wrong type to fake — which is one uncomfortable theory of what a demanding degree partly does.
Qualificationswarranties
The uninformed side designs the menu so people sort themselves. Offer a low-premium, high-excess policy and confident low-risk drivers select it — revealing what you couldn't ask.
Insurance tiersinterview tasks
Someone decides on your behalf without bearing your consequences. Shareholders want long-run value; a manager paid on this year's profit may rationally choose otherwise. Most bonus design is an attempt to close this gap, and most of it works imperfectly.
Boards · employmentpolitics
What happens when intelligence becomes cheap?University preview
AI is not only a technology story. It is a question about productivity, labour markets, competition and the economics of information — all of which economists already have tools for.
"Will AI replace workers?" is the wrong question, because it has two different right answers depending on one variable: does the technology do the job instead of a person, or does it do the boring part so the person can do more?
Economists call these substitution and complementarity. Move both dials and watch what happens to output, employment and wages.
Has this happened before?
Cash machines are the standard example. ATMs automated the core task of a bank teller. Teller employment in the US did not collapse — branches became cheaper to run, so banks opened more of them, and the job shifted towards sales and advice. Substitution within the task, complementarity at the level of the job.
Typesetting is the counter-example. Desktop publishing did not make typesetters more productive. It removed the occupation.
Which pattern AI follows is genuinely unresolved, and honest economists disagree. Anyone confident in either direction is telling you about their politics, not the evidence.
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A deliberately simplified teaching model. The numbers show the direction of economic relationships, not a forecast — nobody knows these parameters.
If everyone can use AI, does competition increase?
The intuitive answer is yes. The economics points the other way.
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A tool everyone can buy is not a source of advantage — that is standard competition. If AI were only software, it would level the field.
But the frontier models depend on three things that do not level: in computing, proprietary data, and from users whose interactions improve the product. Each of those rewards being large, which rewards being large again.
So both claims can be true at once: AI lowers the cost of using intelligence for everyone, while concentrating the market for supplying it. Competition rises in the applications and falls in the layer underneath.
If search costs fall to nearly zero, the advantage of simply knowing more shrinks — bad news for intermediaries who were paid for that gap. But algorithmic pricing can also read your willingness to pay, turning consumer surplus into producer surplus one customer at a time.
Price comparisonpersonalised pricing
Recommendation systems are nudges at industrial scale, chosen by whoever set the objective. And automation bias runs the other way from what people expect: humans tend to over-trust confident machine output, especially when tired.
Feeds · lendinghiring screens
Should you trust an algorithm more than a human? Only when you can measure both, on the same task, against the same outcome — and can see who bears the cost when it is wrong. That is a question, not a technical one.
Accountabilitymeasurement
The questions economists still argue about
Five open problems. These are introductions, not answers — nobody has the answers.
If you understood those, you're already thinking like an economist
Not because you memorised the terms — because you followed the chain. Almost every argument in economics is this sequence, applied to a different situation.
100 concepts worth knowing
Every term used anywhere on this page, defined in plain English — with why it matters and an example. Terms link to each other, so you can follow an idea rather than look up a word.
ScarcityThere is never enough of everything to satisfy every want, so choices have to be made.Economics
There is never enough of everything to satisfy every want, so choices have to be made.
Why it mattersIt is the reason economics exists at all. With unlimited resources there would be nothing to allocate.
ExampleA school has one sports hall. Netball and drama both want Tuesday evening; someone has to decide.
RelatedOpportunity CostIncentiveOpportunity CostThe value of the next best thing you gave up in order to do what you chose.Economics
The value of the next best thing you gave up in order to do what you chose.
Why it mattersThe real cost of a decision is rarely the money. It is what that money, time or effort could otherwise have done.
ExampleA degree costing £9,535 a year also costs three years of salary you did not earn. That forgone salary is the bigger number.
RelatedScarcityMarginal CostRational ChoiceIncentiveAnything that changes the payoff of a choice and so changes how likely someone is to make it.Economics
Anything that changes the payoff of a choice and so changes how likely someone is to make it.
Why it mattersAlmost every economic argument is really an argument about incentives. Change the payoff and behaviour follows.
ExampleCharging 5p for a carrier bag cut English usage dramatically — not because people learned anything, but because the payoff changed.
RelatedNudgeMoral HazardPrincipal-Agent ProblemMarginal CostThe extra cost of producing exactly one more unit.Economics
The extra cost of producing exactly one more unit.
Why it mattersFirms decide at the margin, not on averages. The question is never 'is this profitable overall' but 'is one more worth it'.
ExampleA cinema showing a film has almost zero marginal cost for one more viewer — the film is already running.
RelatedMarginal BenefitEconomies of ScaleMarginal BenefitThe extra benefit from one more unit of something.Economics
The extra benefit from one more unit of something.
Why it mattersRational decisions happen where marginal benefit meets marginal cost — not where total benefit is highest.
ExampleThe first slice of pizza is worth a lot to you. The sixth is worth much less. That decline is diminishing marginal benefit.
RelatedMarginal CostUtilityElasticityHow strongly one thing responds when another thing changes.Economics
How strongly one thing responds when another thing changes.
Why it mattersIt converts a vague claim ('people will buy less') into a number you can act on.
ExampleIf a 10% price rise cuts sales 20%, elasticity is −2: demand is highly responsive.
RelatedPrice Elasticity of DemandIncome Elasticity of DemandPrice Elasticity of DemandThe percentage change in quantity demanded divided by the percentage change in price.Economics
The percentage change in quantity demanded divided by the percentage change in price.
Why it mattersIt decides whether raising a price raises or lowers total revenue.
ExamplePetrol is inelastic in the short run — prices jump and people still drive to work.
RelatedElasticityConsumer SurplusIncome Elasticity of DemandHow much demand for something changes when incomes change.Economics
How much demand for something changes when incomes change.
Why it mattersIt separates the goods people buy more of as they get richer from the ones they abandon.
ExampleRestaurant meals rise sharply with income. Supermarket own-brand value ranges fall.
RelatedElasticityCross Elasticity of DemandHow demand for one good responds to a price change in another good.Economics
How demand for one good responds to a price change in another good.
Why it mattersIt reveals whether two products are substitutes or complements — which decides who your competitors really are.
ExampleRaise the price of Coke and Pepsi sales rise: positive cross elasticity, so they are substitutes.
RelatedElasticityConsumer SurplusThe gap between what you would have been willing to pay and what you actually paid.Economics
The gap between what you would have been willing to pay and what you actually paid.
Why it mattersIt measures the benefit buyers get from a market existing, not just the money that changes hands.
ExampleYou would have paid £80 for the concert ticket. It cost £45. Your surplus is £35.
RelatedProducer SurplusDeadweight LossPrice DiscriminationProducer SurplusThe gap between the price a seller receives and the lowest price they would have accepted.Economics
The gap between the price a seller receives and the lowest price they would have accepted.
Why it mattersTogether with consumer surplus it measures the total gain a market creates.
ExampleA farmer would sell at £2/kg but the market pays £3/kg. That £1 is producer surplus.
RelatedConsumer SurplusDeadweight LossDeadweight LossValue that simply disappears when a market produces less than the efficient quantity — gained by nobody.Economics
Value that simply disappears when a market produces less than the efficient quantity — gained by nobody.
Why it mattersIt is how economists measure the cost of a tax, a monopoly or a price control.
ExampleA monopolist restricts output to raise price. The trades that never happen are pure loss.
RelatedConsumer SurplusMarket PowerMarket FailureMarket FailureWhen a free market, left alone, produces an outcome that wastes resources.Economics
When a free market, left alone, produces an outcome that wastes resources.
Why it mattersIt is the economic case for government action — and the test any intervention has to pass.
ExampleNobody would privately fund street lighting, yet everyone benefits from it.
RelatedExternalityPublic GoodInformation AsymmetryExternalityA cost or benefit that lands on someone who was not part of the transaction.Economics
A cost or benefit that lands on someone who was not part of the transaction.
Why it mattersPrices only guide behaviour well when they include every cost. Externalities are the costs prices miss.
ExampleA factory's emissions harm people downwind who never bought anything from it.
RelatedMarket FailurePublic GoodSomething non-rival (my using it does not reduce yours) and non-excludable (you cannot stop people using it).Economics
Something non-rival (my using it does not reduce yours) and non-excludable (you cannot stop people using it).
Why it mattersThese two properties break the normal market: nobody can profitably sell what nobody can be excluded from.
ExampleNational defence. Flood barriers. A lighthouse.
RelatedMarket FailureMerit GoodSomething considered more valuable than people's own choices suggest, so society encourages consumption.Economics
Something considered more valuable than people's own choices suggest, so society encourages consumption.
Why it mattersIt is one of the few places economics openly overrides individual preference — which makes it contested.
ExampleEducation and vaccination are usually subsidised or compulsory.
RelatedPublic GoodNudgeInformation AsymmetryUniversity previewOne side of a deal knows something important that the other side does not.Economics
One side of a deal knows something important that the other side does not.
Why it mattersIt can shrink or destroy a market entirely, even when both sides genuinely want to trade.
ExampleA used-car seller knows the car's history. You do not.
RelatedAdverse SelectionMoral HazardSignallingScreeningAdverse SelectionUniversity previewWhen hidden information *before* a deal means the wrong people are most likely to take it.Economics
When hidden information *before* a deal means the wrong people are most likely to take it.
Why it mattersIt explains why some markets unravel: the good side quietly exits until only the bad side remains.
ExampleCheap health insurance attracts the people expecting to claim, pushing the price up, driving out the healthy.
RelatedInformation AsymmetryMoral HazardScreeningMoral HazardUniversity previewWhen being protected from a risk changes how carefully you behave.Economics
When being protected from a risk changes how carefully you behave.
Why it mattersIt is about hidden action *after* a deal, not hidden information before it — the two are easy to confuse.
ExampleFully insured, you might leave the bike unlocked for two minutes. Uninsured, you would not.
RelatedAdverse SelectionPrincipal-Agent ProblemIncentiveGame TheoryUniversity previewThe study of decisions where your best move depends on what other people do.Economics
The study of decisions where your best move depends on what other people do.
Why it mattersSupply and demand assumes you are too small to matter. Game theory handles the cases where you are not.
ExampleTwo supermarkets setting prices are playing a game, not responding to an anonymous market.
RelatedNash EquilibriumPrisoner's DilemmaDominant StrategyNash EquilibriumUniversity previewA set of strategies where no player can do better by changing their own strategy alone, given what everyone else is doing.Economics
A set of strategies where no player can do better by changing their own strategy alone, given what everyone else is doing.
Why it mattersIt predicts where strategic situations settle. Crucially it does not mean the outcome is good for anyone.
ExampleBoth firms cut prices and both earn less — but neither can raise price alone without losing all its customers.
RelatedGame TheoryPrisoner's DilemmaDominant StrategyDominant StrategyUniversity previewA move that gives you a better result than your alternatives no matter what the other player does.Economics
A move that gives you a better result than your alternatives no matter what the other player does.
Why it mattersWhen one exists the decision is easy — which is exactly what makes some bad outcomes so hard to escape.
ExampleIn the classic prisoner's dilemma, confessing beats staying silent whatever the other prisoner does.
RelatedNash EquilibriumPrisoner's DilemmaGame TheoryPrisoner's DilemmaUniversity previewA game where both players have a dominant strategy, and both following it leaves both worse off than cooperating would have.Economics
A game where both players have a dominant strategy, and both following it leaves both worse off than cooperating would have.
Why it mattersIt shows individually rational choices producing a collectively terrible result — with no irrationality anywhere.
ExampleTwo petrol stations both discount, both lose margin, and neither dares stop first.
RelatedNash EquilibriumDominant StrategyOpportunity SetEverything you could actually choose, given your money, time and constraints.Economics
Everything you could actually choose, given your money, time and constraints.
Why it mattersMost disagreements about 'bad decisions' are really disagreements about what was in the set.
ExampleTwo students face the same university list but different opportunity sets once travel costs are counted.
RelatedScarcityOpportunity CostUtilityA way of ranking outcomes by how much someone prefers them.Economics
A way of ranking outcomes by how much someone prefers them.
Why it mattersIt is a ranking, not a measurement — utility is not happiness and cannot be compared between people.
ExamplePreferring tea to coffee means tea has higher utility for you. It says nothing about how much you enjoy it versus someone else.
RelatedRational ChoiceMarginal BenefitRational ChoiceThe assumption that people choose the option they most prefer, given what they know and can afford.Economics
The assumption that people choose the option they most prefer, given what they know and can afford.
Why it mattersIt is a modelling starting point, not a claim about human nature — and knowing that is the whole point of behavioural economics.
ExampleRational choice predicts you compare prices. It does not predict you being swayed by which one is listed first.
RelatedBounded RationalityBehavioural EconomicsUtilityBounded RationalityUniversity previewPeople try to decide sensibly but have limited time, attention and computing power, so they use shortcuts.Economics
People try to decide sensibly but have limited time, attention and computing power, so they use shortcuts.
Why it mattersIt is a middle path: not perfectly rational, not random. Predictably imperfect.
ExampleNobody reads all 40 pages of the terms. You skim, then accept.
RelatedRational ChoiceBehavioural EconomicsAnchoringLoss AversionUniversity previewLosing something feels roughly twice as bad as gaining the same thing feels good.Economics
Losing something feels roughly twice as bad as gaining the same thing feels good.
Why it mattersIt explains behaviour that looks irrational — holding losing investments, refusing fair bets — as a consistent pattern.
ExampleLosing £50 stings more than finding £50 pleases, though the amounts are identical.
RelatedBehavioural EconomicsAnchoringUniversity previewAn irrelevant number you saw first drags your later estimate towards it.Economics
An irrelevant number you saw first drags your later estimate towards it.
Why it mattersIt means the order information arrives changes the answer — which is why 'was £120, now £60' works.
ExampleShown a £900 watch first, the £300 one feels reasonable. Shown alone, it feels expensive.
RelatedBehavioural EconomicsBounded RationalityNudgePresent BiasUniversity previewPlacing disproportionate weight on rewards available right now compared with later ones.Economics
Placing disproportionate weight on rewards available right now compared with later ones.
Why it mattersIt explains the gap between what people plan and what they do, without either being irrational at the time.
ExampleYou plan to revise on Saturday. On Saturday, today wins.
RelatedDiscount RateNudgeBehavioural EconomicsNudgeA change to how choices are presented that shifts behaviour without removing any option or changing payoffs.Economics
A change to how choices are presented that shifts behaviour without removing any option or changing payoffs.
Why it mattersIt is the practical output of behavioural economics — and controversial precisely because it works without consent.
ExampleAuto-enrolment into a workplace pension. You may opt out; almost nobody does.
RelatedBehavioural EconomicsIncentiveBehavioural EconomicsUniversity previewEconomics that builds in how people actually decide, rather than assuming perfect rationality.Economics
Economics that builds in how people actually decide, rather than assuming perfect rationality.
Why it mattersIt does not say people are stupid. It says the errors are systematic, so they can be predicted and designed for.
ExampleKnowing people undervalue the future, pensions are opt-out rather than opt-in.
RelatedLoss AversionAnchoringPresent BiasNetwork EffectUniversity previewA product becomes more valuable to each user as more people use it.Economics
A product becomes more valuable to each user as more people use it.
Why it mattersIt produces winner-takes-most markets, because the leader's advantage compounds rather than eroding.
ExampleA messaging app with two users is useless. With everyone you know, it is hard to leave.
RelatedEconomies of ScaleBarriers to EntryMarket PowerEconomies of ScaleAverage cost per unit falls as output rises.Economics
Average cost per unit falls as output rises.
Why it mattersIt explains why some industries end up with a few huge firms rather than many small ones.
ExampleA chip factory costs billions whether it makes one chip or a billion. Volume spreads the fixed cost.
RelatedDiseconomies of ScaleBarriers to EntryMarginal CostDiseconomies of ScaleBeyond some size, average cost per unit starts rising again.Economics
Beyond some size, average cost per unit starts rising again.
Why it mattersIt sets a natural limit on firm size — coordination, communication and management get harder.
ExampleA company big enough to need four layers of approval to change a price.
RelatedEconomies of ScaleTransaction CostsBarriers to EntryAnything that makes it hard for a new firm to start competing.Economics
Anything that makes it hard for a new firm to start competing.
Why it mattersProfits only attract competitors if entry is possible. Barriers are what let high profits persist.
ExampleBanking licences, patents, huge upfront capital, or an established network of users.
RelatedMarket PowerNetwork EffectEconomies of ScaleMarket PowerThe ability to raise price above marginal cost without losing all your customers.Economics
The ability to raise price above marginal cost without losing all your customers.
Why it mattersIt is the practical definition of 'not a competitive market', and the thing competition regulators measure.
ExampleA train operator on a route with no alternative can price well above cost.
RelatedMonopolistic CompetitionOligopolyDeadweight LossMonopolistic CompetitionMany firms selling similar but not identical products, each with a little pricing power.Economics
Many firms selling similar but not identical products, each with a little pricing power.
Why it mattersIt describes most of the real economy far better than either perfect competition or monopoly.
ExampleCoffee shops. Dozens nearby, but yours is closer, or nicer, or knows your order.
RelatedMarket PowerOligopolyOligopolyA market dominated by a few firms, each large enough that its decisions affect the others.Economics
A market dominated by a few firms, each large enough that its decisions affect the others.
Why it mattersThis is where game theory becomes essential — rivals must think about each other explicitly.
ExampleUK supermarkets, mobile networks, or the handful of firms running airline routes.
RelatedGame TheoryNash EquilibriumMarket PowerMonopsonyUniversity previewA market with one dominant *buyer* rather than one dominant seller.Economics
A market with one dominant *buyer* rather than one dominant seller.
Why it mattersIt is the overlooked half of market power, and it pushes prices and wages down rather than up.
ExampleA town where one large employer is realistically the only place to work.
RelatedMarket PowerOligopolyPrice DiscriminationCharging different customers different prices for essentially the same thing.Economics
Charging different customers different prices for essentially the same thing.
Why it mattersIt converts consumer surplus into producer surplus — and can also let firms serve customers they otherwise could not.
ExampleStudent railcards, airline seats priced by booking date, cinema concession tickets.
RelatedConsumer SurplusMarket PowerSignallingUniversity previewThe informed side takes a costly action that credibly communicates what it knows.Economics
The informed side takes a costly action that credibly communicates what it knows.
Why it mattersFor a signal to work it must be cheaper for the good type than the bad type. Otherwise everyone would send it.
ExampleA hard degree may signal ability partly because finishing it is harder for weaker candidates.
RelatedScreeningInformation AsymmetryHuman CapitalScreeningUniversity previewThe *uninformed* side designs choices that make people reveal what they know.Economics
The *uninformed* side designs choices that make people reveal what they know.
Why it mattersIt is signalling in reverse, and it explains a lot of contract and product design.
ExampleInsurance offering a low-premium/high-excess option that only confident low-risk drivers pick.
RelatedSignallingAdverse SelectionInformation AsymmetryPrincipal-Agent ProblemUniversity previewSomeone makes decisions on your behalf but does not share your interests or bear your consequences.Economics
Someone makes decisions on your behalf but does not share your interests or bear your consequences.
Why it mattersIt underlies corporate governance, employment contracts, politics and most bonus schemes.
ExampleShareholders want long-run value; a manager paid on this year's profit may not.
RelatedMoral HazardIncentiveTransaction CostsTransaction CostsUniversity previewThe costs of making a deal happen: finding, negotiating, checking and enforcing.Economics
The costs of making a deal happen: finding, negotiating, checking and enforcing.
Why it mattersThey explain why firms exist at all — sometimes organising inside a company is cheaper than buying in a market.
ExampleHiring an employee rather than renegotiating a contract with a freelancer every morning.
RelatedDiseconomies of ScaleRent-SeekingUniversity previewSpending resources to capture a bigger slice of existing value rather than creating new value.Economics
Spending resources to capture a bigger slice of existing value rather than creating new value.
Why it mattersIt is costly even when it fails, because the effort produced nothing either way.
ExampleLobbying for a rule that blocks competitors, rather than improving the product.
RelatedMarket PowerBarriers to EntryCreative DestructionGrowth works by new methods destroying old ones, not by everything improving gently.Economics
Growth works by new methods destroying old ones, not by everything improving gently.
Why it mattersIt reframes disruption as the mechanism of progress rather than a failure of it — while being honest that people lose.
ExampleStreaming displaced DVD rental entirely. The gains and the job losses were the same process.
RelatedEconomic GrowthProductivityHuman CapitalThe skills, knowledge and health that make a person more productive.Economics
The skills, knowledge and health that make a person more productive.
Why it mattersIt treats education and training as investment with a return, not consumption.
ExampleAn apprenticeship raises lifetime earnings — that increase is the return on the capital built.
RelatedSignallingProductivityEconomic GrowthProductivityOutput produced per unit of input, usually per hour worked.Economics
Output produced per unit of input, usually per hour worked.
Why it mattersOver the long run it is essentially the only thing that raises living standards.
ExampleOne farmer feeding hundreds rather than a family is a productivity story.
RelatedTotal Factor ProductivityEconomic GrowthHuman CapitalTotal Factor ProductivityUniversity previewThe part of output growth not explained by adding more labour or more capital.Economics
The part of output growth not explained by adding more labour or more capital.
Why it mattersIt is the residual where technology, know-how and organisation hide — and the hardest part to raise.
ExampleSame workers, same machines, better process: output rises. That is TFP.
RelatedProductivityEconomic GrowthGross Domestic ProductThe total market value of everything produced inside a country in a period.Macro
The total market value of everything produced inside a country in a period.
Why it mattersIt is the headline measure of an economy's size — and it deliberately ignores unpaid work, inequality and depletion.
ExampleA volunteer-run food bank adds real value but almost nothing to GDP.
RelatedReal GDPEconomic GrowthReal GDPGDP adjusted so that price changes are stripped out.Macro
GDP adjusted so that price changes are stripped out.
Why it mattersIt answers whether more was actually produced, rather than whether prices simply rose.
ExampleIf output is flat and prices rise 5%, nominal GDP grows and real GDP does not.
RelatedNominal GDPInflationGross Domestic ProductNominal GDPGDP measured at current prices, with inflation left in.Macro
Economic GrowthA sustained rise in real output, usually measured per person.Macro
A sustained rise in real output, usually measured per person.
Why it mattersSmall differences compound: 1% versus 3% a year transforms living standards within a generation.
ExampleAt 2% growth an economy roughly doubles in 35 years; at 1%, in 70.
RelatedProductivityTotal Factor ProductivityCompound InterestInflationA general rise in prices across the economy, which lowers what each pound buys.Macro
A general rise in prices across the economy, which lowers what each pound buys.
Why it mattersIt quietly redistributes: bad for savers and lenders, good for borrowers with fixed-rate debt.
ExampleAt 5% inflation, £100 under the mattress buys about £95 worth of goods a year later.
RelatedDeflationMonetary PolicyReal GDPDeflationA general fall in prices.Macro
A general fall in prices.
Why it mattersIt sounds appealing and is usually dangerous: people delay purchases, and the real burden of debt rises.
ExampleIf prices will be lower next year, buying the sofa now is the worse deal — so nobody does.
RelatedInflationMonetary PolicyUnemploymentPeople who are out of work, available to work, and actively looking.Macro
People who are out of work, available to work, and actively looking.
Why it mattersThe definition matters: those who have stopped looking are not counted, which can flatter the figure.
ExampleSomeone who gave up searching after a year leaves the count without finding a job.
RelatedNatural Rate of UnemploymentAggregate DemandNatural Rate of UnemploymentUniversity previewThe unemployment that remains even in a healthy economy, from people moving between jobs and skills not matching vacancies.Macro
The unemployment that remains even in a healthy economy, from people moving between jobs and skills not matching vacancies.
Why it mattersIt implies zero unemployment is neither achievable nor desirable as a target.
ExampleA graduate spending two months choosing between offers is part of it.
RelatedUnemploymentAggregate SupplyAggregate DemandTotal spending on domestic goods and services: households, firms, government and net exports.Macro
Total spending on domestic goods and services: households, firms, government and net exports.
Why it mattersMost short-run policy — rate cuts, tax changes, stimulus — works by shifting it.
ExampleA tax cut leaves households more to spend, pushing aggregate demand right.
RelatedAggregate SupplyFiscal PolicyMultiplierAggregate SupplyTotal output firms are willing to produce at each price level.Macro
Total output firms are willing to produce at each price level.
Why it mattersIt sets the limit on what demand stimulus can achieve: push beyond capacity and you get inflation, not output.
ExampleIf every factory is already at capacity, extra spending raises prices alone.
RelatedAggregate DemandInflationFiscal PolicyGovernment use of taxation and spending to influence the economy.Macro
Government use of taxation and spending to influence the economy.
Why it mattersIt is the lever controlled by elected politicians, which makes it powerful and slow.
ExampleFurlough payments during the pandemic were fiscal policy on a huge scale.
RelatedMonetary PolicyBudget DeficitMultiplierMonetary PolicyCentral bank actions — mainly setting interest rates — to influence demand and inflation.Macro
Central bank actions — mainly setting interest rates — to influence demand and inflation.
Why it mattersIn the UK it is deliberately insulated from politics, because governments face a temptation to keep rates too low.
ExampleThe Bank of England raising Bank Rate to slow price rises.
RelatedInterest RateInflationQuantitative EasingInterest RateThe price of borrowing money, or the reward for lending it, per year.Macro
The price of borrowing money, or the reward for lending it, per year.
Why it mattersIt is the price that links today and the future, so it touches saving, mortgages, investment and currencies at once.
ExampleA rise in Bank Rate raises tracker mortgage payments within weeks.
RelatedMonetary PolicyPresent ValueDiscount RateMoney SupplyThe total money circulating in an economy, including bank deposits.Macro
The total money circulating in an economy, including bank deposits.
Why it mattersMost money is created by commercial banks lending, not printed by the state — which surprises most people.
ExampleWhen a bank grants a £200,000 mortgage it creates a new deposit of that size.
RelatedQuantitative EasingInflationQuantitative EasingUniversity previewA central bank creating reserves to buy financial assets, mainly government bonds, to push longer-term rates down.Macro
A central bank creating reserves to buy financial assets, mainly government bonds, to push longer-term rates down.
Why it mattersIt is what central banks reach for when rates are already near zero and cannot fall further.
ExampleThe Bank of England bought hundreds of billions of gilts after 2008 and again in 2020.
RelatedMonetary PolicyBondMoney SupplyMultiplierAn initial change in spending causing a larger total change, because one person's spending is another's income.Macro
An initial change in spending causing a larger total change, because one person's spending is another's income.
Why it mattersIts size decides whether stimulus is powerful or wasteful — and it is genuinely disputed.
Example£1bn of road building becomes wages, which become spending in shops, and so on.
RelatedFiscal PolicyAggregate DemandPublic DebtThe total amount a government owes from past borrowing.Macro
The total amount a government owes from past borrowing.
Why it mattersIt is a stock, not a flow — confusing it with the annual deficit is a standard mistake.
ExampleA country can cut its deficit every year and still watch total debt rise.
RelatedBudget DeficitBondBudget DeficitThe gap in one year between what a government spends and what it raises.Macro
The gap in one year between what a government spends and what it raises.
Why it mattersDeficits add to debt; surpluses reduce it. The flow feeds the stock.
ExampleSpending £1,100bn while raising £1,000bn is a £100bn deficit that year.
RelatedPublic DebtFiscal PolicyCurrent AccountA record of a country's trade in goods and services plus income flows with the rest of the world.Macro
A record of a country's trade in goods and services plus income flows with the rest of the world.
Why it mattersA persistent deficit means a country is consuming more than it produces, funded by selling assets or borrowing.
ExampleThe UK has run a current account deficit for decades, financed by inflows of foreign capital.
RelatedBalance of PaymentsExchange RateBalance of PaymentsThe full record of transactions between one country and the rest of the world.Macro
The full record of transactions between one country and the rest of the world.
Why it mattersBy construction it balances — a deficit in one account is matched by a surplus in another.
ExampleMoney spent on imports returns as foreign purchases of UK assets.
RelatedCurrent AccountExchange RateAssetSomething you own that is expected to produce value.Finance
LiabilitySomething you owe.Finance
EquityWhat is left over after liabilities are subtracted from assets — the owner's stake.Finance
What is left over after liabilities are subtracted from assets — the owner's stake.
Why it mattersIt is the residual claim: equity holders are paid last, which is why they demand the highest return.
ExampleA £300,000 house with a £270,000 mortgage leaves £30,000 of equity.
RelatedAssetLiabilityStockBondA loan you can trade. The issuer promises fixed payments and the return of the principal at the end.Finance
A loan you can trade. The issuer promises fixed payments and the return of the principal at the end.
Why it mattersBondholders are lenders, not owners — they get paid before shareholders but never share in the upside.
ExampleA UK government gilt paying 4% a year for ten years.
RelatedYieldCouponMaturityCredit RiskYieldThe return on a bond expressed as a percentage of its current price.Finance
The return on a bond expressed as a percentage of its current price.
Why it mattersYield moves inversely to price. If the price falls, the fixed payments represent a higher return.
ExampleA bond paying £5 a year costing £100 yields 5%. If the price drops to £80, it yields 6.25%.
RelatedBondCouponInterest RateCouponThe fixed interest payment a bond makes, set when it is issued.Finance
MaturityThe date a bond or loan is repaid in full.Finance
StockA share of ownership in a company.Finance
A share of ownership in a company.
Why it mattersOwning shares means owning a slice of future profits — and being last in the queue if things go wrong.
ExampleOne share of a company with a million shares is a millionth of it.
RelatedEquityDividendMarket CapitalisationDividendA share of profit paid out to shareholders in cash.Finance
A share of profit paid out to shareholders in cash.
Why it mattersPaying it returns cash to owners; retaining it funds growth. Neither is automatically better.
ExampleA company earning £100m might pay £40m as dividends and reinvest £60m.
RelatedStockCapital GainCapital GainThe profit from selling something for more than you paid.Finance
Market CapitalisationThe total value of a company's shares: share price multiplied by number of shares.Finance
Initial Public OfferingThe first sale of a company's shares to the public, listing it on an exchange.Finance
The first sale of a company's shares to the public, listing it on an exchange.
Why it mattersIt converts private ownership into tradeable stock, raising capital but bringing disclosure and scrutiny.
ExampleA private firm listing on the London Stock Exchange.
RelatedStockEquityMarket CapitalisationPortfolioThe whole collection of investments someone holds.Finance
The whole collection of investments someone holds.
Why it mattersWhat matters is how the parts behave together, not how each behaves alone.
ExampleShares, bonds, cash and a pension considered as one position.
RelatedDiversificationVolatilityDiversificationSpreading money across investments that do not move together, cutting risk without cutting expected return.Finance
Spreading money across investments that do not move together, cutting risk without cutting expected return.
Why it mattersIt is the closest thing to a free lunch in finance — and it cannot remove risk that hits everything at once.
ExampleOwning 200 companies means one bankruptcy barely registers.
RelatedPortfolioVolatilityRisk PremiumVolatilityHow much a price swings around, usually measured as standard deviation.Finance
How much a price swings around, usually measured as standard deviation.
Why it mattersIt is the standard proxy for risk, though it treats upside surprises as risk too.
ExampleA fund described as '16% vol' typically moves about 16% either way in a year.
RelatedRisk PremiumDiversificationLiquidityHow quickly something can be sold near its fair value.Finance
How quickly something can be sold near its fair value.
Why it mattersSolvent institutions still fail if they cannot convert assets to cash in time. Liquidity kills faster than losses.
ExampleShares sell in seconds. A house takes months, and faster means cheaper.
RelatedAssetVolatilityLeverageUsing borrowed money to increase the size of a position.Finance
Using borrowed money to increase the size of a position.
Why it mattersIt multiplies gains and losses equally — and forced selling at the bottom is what turns losses into ruin.
Example£30,000 deposit on a £300,000 flat: a 10% price fall wipes out the whole deposit.
RelatedLiabilityEquityVolatilityCompound InterestEarning returns on your past returns as well as on your original money.Finance
Earning returns on your past returns as well as on your original money.
Why it mattersIt is unimpressive for years and then dominant. Time matters more than the amount you start with.
Example£100 a month at 7% for 40 years becomes far more than the £48,000 you paid in.
RelatedPresent ValueDiscount RateEconomic GrowthPresent ValueWhat a future sum is worth today, once you account for the return you could earn meanwhile.Finance
What a future sum is worth today, once you account for the return you could earn meanwhile.
Why it mattersIt makes amounts arriving at different times comparable — the foundation of every valuation.
Example£1,000 in five years at 5% is worth about £784 today.
RelatedDiscount RateNet Present ValueCompound InterestDiscount RateThe rate used to convert future money into today's money.Finance
The rate used to convert future money into today's money.
Why it mattersSmall changes swing valuations enormously, which is why arguments about it are really arguments about value.
ExampleRaising the rate from 5% to 8% sharply cuts the present value of distant cashflows.
RelatedPresent ValueNet Present ValueInterest RateNet Present ValueThe present value of everything a project brings in, minus everything it costs.Finance
The present value of everything a project brings in, minus everything it costs.
Why it mattersPositive NPV means the project adds value at that discount rate. It is the standard investment test.
ExampleSpend £1m now, receive £250,000 a year for six years: whether that is worth doing depends entirely on the rate.
RelatedPresent ValueDiscount RateExchange RateThe price of one currency in terms of another.Finance
The price of one currency in terms of another.
Why it mattersIt changes the price of every import and export at once, so it moves inflation and competitiveness together.
ExampleA weaker pound makes holidays abroad dearer and UK exports cheaper.
RelatedCurrent AccountBalance of PaymentsInflationBull MarketA sustained period of rising prices and optimism.Finance
A sustained period of rising prices and optimism.
Why it mattersRising prices change behaviour — risk feels smaller precisely when it may be growing.
ExampleA stock index climbing for several years with only shallow dips.
RelatedBear MarketVolatilityBear MarketA sustained fall in prices, conventionally 20% or more from the peak.Finance
A sustained fall in prices, conventionally 20% or more from the peak.
Why it mattersMost long-run returns are earned by people who stayed invested through these.
ExampleMarkets fell sharply in early 2020 before recovering within months.
RelatedBull MarketVolatilityIndex FundA fund that simply holds everything in an index rather than trying to pick winners.Finance
A fund that simply holds everything in an index rather than trying to pick winners.
Why it mattersLow costs compound just as returns do — which is why cheap tracking beats most active managers over time.
ExampleA FTSE All-Share tracker holding every listed company in proportion.
RelatedDiversificationExchange-Traded FundPortfolioExchange-Traded FundA fund whose shares trade on an exchange throughout the day like a normal stock.Finance
A fund whose shares trade on an exchange throughout the day like a normal stock.
Why it mattersIt gives instant diversification with the liquidity of a single share.
ExampleBuying one ETF share to own a slice of hundreds of global companies.
RelatedIndex FundLiquidityDiversificationHedge FundA private investment fund, open to institutions and wealthy individuals, that can go both long and short and use leverage.Finance
A private investment fund, open to institutions and wealthy individuals, that can go both long and short and use leverage.
Why it mattersIts defining feature is freedom from the constraints on ordinary funds — and fees to match.
ExampleA fund betting one supermarket will beat another while holding no view on the market overall.
RelatedLeverageVolatilityArbitrageArbitrageUniversity previewMaking a riskless profit from the same thing trading at two different prices.Finance
Making a riskless profit from the same thing trading at two different prices.
Why it mattersThe act of exploiting it removes it, which is precisely why prices stay consistent across markets.
ExampleIf gold is cheaper in London than New York, buying and selling simultaneously closes the gap.
RelatedLiquidityHedge FundCredit RiskThe risk that a borrower fails to repay.Finance
The risk that a borrower fails to repay.
Why it mattersIt is the whole reason interest rates differ between borrowers — the extra is compensation for possible default.
ExampleA government bond yields less than a struggling company's bond of the same maturity.
RelatedBondYieldRisk PremiumEconomics doesn't stop at supply and demand.
The interesting questions start when people interact, information is imperfect, incentives conflict, and technology changes the rules underneath all three.